| Type | Journal Article - Cardiovascular Journal of Africa | 
| Title | Geographical influence on the distribution of the prevalence of hypertension in South Africa: a multilevel analysis | 
| Author(s) | |
| Volume | 31 | 
| Issue | 1 | 
| Publication (Day/Month/Year) | 2019 | 
| Abstract | Background:  As  a  response  to  the  growing  burden  of   non-communicable diseases, the South African government has set targets  to  reduce  the  prevalence  of   people  with  raised  blood  pressure, through lifestyle changes and medication, by 20% by the year 2020. It has also recognised that the prevalence varies at local administrative level. The study aim was to determine the  geographical  variation  by  district  of   the  prevalence  of   hypertension among South African adults aged 15 years and above. Methods:  Data  from  all  five  waves  of   the  National  income  Dynamics  Study,  a  panel  survey,  were  used  for  estimation  by  both  design-based  and  multilevel  analysis  methods.  In  the  multilevel  analysis,  a  three-level  hierarchy  was  used  with  panel  participants  in  the  first  level,  repeated  measurements  on patients in the second level, and districts in the third level.Results:   After   accounting   for   demographic,   behavioural,   socio-economic  and  environmental  factors,  significant  vari-ation  remained  in  the  prevalence  of   hypertension  at  the  district  level.  Districts  with  higher-than-average  prevalence  were  found  mostly  in  the  south-western  part  of   the  country,  while those with a prevalence below average were found in the northern area. Age, body mass index and race were the indi-vidual  factors  found  to  have  a  strong  effect  on  hypertension  prevalence for this sample.Conclusions:  There  were  significant  differences  in  hyperten-sion  prevalence  between  districts  and  therefore  the  method  of  analysis and the results could be useful for more targeted preventative and control programmes |