Thrive by Five Technical Supplement: Extrapolation of findings to population of children not enrolled in Early Learning Programmes

Type Report
Title Thrive by Five Technical Supplement: Extrapolation of findings to population of children not enrolled in Early Learning Programmes
Author(s)
Publication (Day/Month/Year) 2022
Publisher Thrive by Five
Country/State South Africa
URL https://www.thrivebyfive.co.za/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/ExtrapolationTechnicalSupplement.pdf
Abstract
The Thrive by Five Index is a crucial step towards determining how many South African children can be said to Thrive by Five, or to state it in terms of the concern, how many remain at risk and vulnerable. This Index used an innovative design to select a sample of Early Learning Programmes (ELPs) nationally, within which a sample of children was then assessed. The team then determined appropriate weights to make the results from this survey as representative as possible of all children attending ELPs. But unfortunately, this does not yet yield the full picture, for more than one-quarter of 4-year-old South African children are currently not enrolled in ELPs. The dilemma is that it is extremely difficult to survey and test children not participating in ELPs on the Early Learning Outcomes Measure (ELOM) benchmarking test. This being the case, this short
document sets out the methodology followed to estimate both cognitive development levels and stunting measures for children aged 4 who are not enrolled in ELPs. This is then combined with the more robust data from the Index to arrive at overall estimates. Over time, more information may become available to estimate child development indicators among the non-enrolled population, while rising enrolment levels may also increase the proportion of the population for whom robust estimates would be available.

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