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Citation Information

Type Journal Article - Political Behavior
Title Finding partisanship where we least expect it: Evidence of partisan bias in a new African democracy
Author(s)
Volume 38
Issue 1
Publication (Day/Month/Year) 2016
Page numbers 129-154
URL http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11109-015-9309-5
Abstract
Much of the literature on political behavior in Africa's new semi-democracies has treated partisan affiliation as weak, purely pragmatic, or a proxy for other, more meaningful identities such as ethnicity. In this article, I dispute these conceptions by demonstrating that partisanship in an African context, like partisanship in established democracies, is a psychologically meaningful identity that can inspire voters to engage in motivated reasoning. By combining survey data with an original dataset of objective indicators of local public goods quality in Uganda, I show that supporters of the incumbent president systematically overestimate what they have received from government, while opposition supporters systematically underestimate. Partisan support precedes, rather than results from, this mis-estimation. I also show that partisans of the incumbent (opposition) are significantly more (less) likely to attribute any bad outcomes they observe to private actors rather than the government. I argue that these findings are consistent with the predictions of social identity theory: the conflict that marked many African political transitions, and the mapping of African parties onto existing social cleavages, are sufficient conditions for the creation of strong political-social identities like those that characterize partisanship in the West. My findings indicate that Africanists should take partisanship seriously as a predictor of political behavior and attitudes.

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Carlson, Elizabeth. "Finding partisanship where we least expect it: Evidence of partisan bias in a new African democracy." Political Behavior 38, no. 1 (2016): 129-154.
Copyright DataFirst, University of Cape Town